Re: Emily

This may sound like I'm running for office, David, but I think it's both. In the short term, I think it's the cyclical crap shoot that weather has always seemed to be--the stuff of the Farmer's Almanac. But I think this is playing out on top of significant long-term change. A key factor in What's-His-Name Grey's, the hurricane guru at University of Colorado, prognostications is El Nino--and the occurrence, recurrence of El Nino seems to be influenced by the continual warming of the earth.

The scary part is that these effects are cumulative. The worst of what you see today will be the best you can hope for tomorrow. It took a couple of hundred years of reckless fossil-fuel emissions to get us here--to the front edge of reaping our harvest; it will surely take that long a period of constrained stewardship to get us back to a less hazardous environment, or even to one where we can maintain an environmental status quo.

David, the problem with "theories" is a rhetorical one. Two come to mind--evolution and global warming. They are theories because they have not been definitively proven beyond all doubt. Most intelligent people understand that caveat; most intelligent people also believe the theories are true or very close to true. The only significant deniers are the Kansas state school board and the current administration in Washington.



On Jul 12, 2005, at 6:58 PM, David Franzman wrote:

So Jim I think you and I agree about this greenhouse effect thing. Everybody expects instant changes and when we have one hot period some are claiming that it's because of the gh effect. You and I both know it takes more than just one season to prove or disprove a theory. However, I wanted to ask you about last year and this years hurricanes. We're off to the fastest start since recorded history. Last year was a huge year with a friend of mine in Gainesville being whacked three times. Weather events are cyclical but would you consider the current trend an anomoly or a direct result of climatic change? Just curious if your opinion has been altered over the last year or so.

David
http://www.atouchofthetropics.net
----- Original Message ----- From: "james singer" <islandjim1@verizon.net>
To: "Garden Chat" <gardenchat@hort.net>
Sent: Tuesday, July 12, 2005 7:19 AM
Subject: [CHAT] Emily


Now it looks like Emily is heading for the Gulf. We'll know better on Sunday when it batters Cuba.


Island Jim
Southwest Florida
27.0 N, 82.4 W
Hardiness Zone 10
Heat Zone 10
Minimum 30 F [-1 C]
Maximum 100 F [38 C]

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Island Jim
Southwest Florida
27.0 N, 82.4 W
Hardiness Zone 10
Heat Zone 10
Minimum 30 F [-1 C]
Maximum 100 F [38 C]

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