Re: Data interpretation

>Brock-
>I wish I had your patch space - I only have room for one plant!  so I try to
>germinate 4 seeds - put two plants in the garden and at some time cut back
>to 1.  So I have to really pick seeds wisely.  I can't take the chance to
>experiment with an unproven seed- especially one under 700#.
> I think we agree.  If I had a great proven seed,   I would go with it, as
>stated somewhere in the original post.   Today -I would take a 620 Black,
>over a 1092 seed, for next year because the 1092 are unproven.  That is the
>proper statistical choice given those two seeds. why ? it has a proven
>potential.  The next given the same two seeds year I might not make the same
>choice.  I guess I have had one to many statistics class.   I and was
>speaking generally in the last post.  To restate I would take a unproven
>seed from a big unknown unproven pumpkin over the unproven seeds from a
>small unknown pumpkin.  Statically that is the better choice.
>
>Gordon
>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
>Hey Gordon,
I totally agree with your last few sentences!

 but then I had this haunting theory..........I would enjoy anyones two
cents........ I am desparately  trying to form a theme...a plan...a
>philosophy....Here it is what i am thinking  is that those big good crosses
>have maybe 10 seeds that are DECENT!!!!! and the rest are going to be
>average.....maybe a couple of those 10 seeds are real AWESOME..........So
>if thats
>true!..... by the time we take NOTICE of them in the 700+ booklet
>or stats,,,,,,,,,,,,,5 of those ten are USED up ..................now you have
>worse odds going BACK..................especially if an awesome one was
>already  hit................with these narly  odds.......We have developed
>the "takes a year off " theory
>when growers try a big one and only hitting the average 6-7......the seed
>is then left alone..are big ones left untested........but IF THIS is how
>most seed IS OR SEEMS!.......So if all this is true you have better, not
>good, but BETTER odds planting from the cutting
>edge.....................hoping to get one of those TOP TEN
>seeds.......................I come to this conclusion statistically and
>have had to ignore the 567 mombert because.........it is toooo
>awesome...........my only hunch on that awesome statistcal nightmare was
>it was only passed to experienced growers...............so where does this
>leave us???  as usual guessing!!................brock
>
mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm


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